Assault on the Hotel Continental
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1057 | 63% | 2025-04-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2022-07-24 | Lost |
| 950 | 990 | 44% | 2020-11-04 | Lost |
| 1125 | 984 | 69% | 2019-01-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1021 | 57% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1041 | 41% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 1086 | 694 | 91% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 970 | 879 | 63% | 2010-08-15 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1186 | 32% | 2007-07-24 | Won |
| 1057 | 1053 | 51% | 2007-07-19 | Won |
| 949 | 1056 | 35% | 2006-10-13 | Won |
| 977 | 1140 | 28% | 2001-10-06 | Won |
| 999 | 1109 | 35% | 2000-12-16 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1068 | 49% | 1998-04-25 | Won |
| 830 | 1084 | 19% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 999.9 vs 1018.7 has a 47.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).