Assault on the Hotel Continental
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1057 | 66% | 2025-04-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2022-07-24 | Lost |
| 951 | 990 | 44% | 2020-11-04 | Lost |
| 1109 | 991 | 66% | 2019-01-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 977 | 63% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1028 | 43% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 1050 | 693 | 89% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 960 | 889 | 60% | 2010-08-15 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1185 | 27% | 2007-07-24 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2007-07-19 | Won |
| 949 | 1013 | 41% | 2006-10-13 | Won |
| 978 | 1152 | 27% | 2001-10-06 | Won |
| 999 | 1139 | 31% | 2000-12-16 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1068 | 49% | 1998-04-25 | Won |
| 830 | 1104 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 992.1 vs 1014.9 has a 46.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).