Assault on the Hotel Continental
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (18 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 41
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 1078 | 62% | 2025-04-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2022-07-24 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1008 | 61% | 2017-05-20 | | Won |
| 979 | 1098 | 34% | 2017-05-20 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2017-04-15 | | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2017-04-15 | | Won |
| 1080 | 695 | 90% | 2011-02-26 | | Won |
| 970 | 841 | 68% | 2010-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1192 | 32% | 2007-07-24 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2007-07-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2006-10-13 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1344 | 16% | 2002-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2001-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2000-12-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 1998-04-25 | | Won |
| 832 | 1070 | 20% | | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1001.7 vs 1037.1 has a 44.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).