Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Italian / German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 1048 | 38% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 966 | 1076 | 35% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
| 1022 | 941 | 61% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
| 1141 | 988 | 71% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1220 | 1030 | 75% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1042 | 49% | 2010-02-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1234 | 26% | 2006-02-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2004-12-24 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1062 | 48% | 2004-12-15 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 1999-07-07 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 1999-05-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-10-17 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1003 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1072.4 vs 1046.1 has a 53.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).