Duel at Reuler
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1002 | 52% | 2022-03-28 | Won |
| 944 | 932 | 52% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 1052 | 934 | 66% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 2013-08-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 1017 | 56% | 2012-05-18 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1060 | 44% | 2012-05-04 | Lost |
| 972 | 1058 | 38% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-12-01 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1005 | 79% | 2007-10-29 | Won |
| 1037 | 1060 | 47% | 2007-02-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1077 | 53% | 2006-02-18 | Won |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2005-12-17 | Lost |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2005-12-17 | Lost |
| 913 | 993 | 39% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1070 | 50% | 2004-07-29 | Won |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2004-07-24 | Won |
| 1135 | 1233 | 36% | 2004-04-15 | Lost |
| 833 | 1113 | 17% | 2003-07-09 | Lost |
| 1107 | 897 | 77% | 1999-03-19 | Lost |
| 994 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-09-12 | Won |
| 987 | 1060 | 40% | 1998-04-26 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1033.5 vs 1041.7 has a 48.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).