Stalin's Shadow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1084 | 60% | 2019-10-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1216 | 16% | 2019-07-23 | Won |
| 1139 | 1126 | 52% | 2012-08-30 | Lost |
| 1070 | 695 | 90% | 2010-02-20 | Won |
| 1015 | 866 | 70% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 992 | 1156 | 28% | 2008-04-26 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2007-08-16 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-07-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 987 | 71% | 2006-04-26 | Lost |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2006-01-10 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1092 | 55% | 2005-02-22 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1127 | 45% | 2005-01-29 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1083.1 vs 1026.8 has a 58.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).