A Bird in the Hand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (5 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1220 | 939 | 83% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2016-12-07 | Lost |
| 1099 | 694 | 91% | 2014-05-17 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2007-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1116.6 vs 942.4 has a 73.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).