A Bird in the Hand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (5 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1217 | 935 | 84% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2016-12-07 | Lost |
| 1086 | 694 | 91% | 2014-05-17 | Won |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2007-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1113.4 vs 929.4 has a 74.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).