Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Belgian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1170 | 29% | 2024-07-02 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-03-24 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1137 | 33% | 2022-10-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2021-06-19 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1020 | 34% | 2021-05-18 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1121 | 28% | 2020-07-27 | | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2020-04-18 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2019-12-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2018-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-06-24 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2018-01-07 | | Won |
| 1039 | 953 | 62% | 2014-10-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2014-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-11-16 | | Lost |
| 695 | 1090 | 9% | 2012-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2010-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2003-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2003-07-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1017.9 vs 1051.1 has a 45.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).