Denouement
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (10 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (British): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1097 | 47% | 2022-11-09 | | Won |
| 944 | 1141 | 24% | 2021-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2019-12-03 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2018-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2015-03-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-07-13 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-06-29 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1996-06-15 | | Won |
| 1156 | 866 | 84% | 1996-02-17 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1102.7 vs 1056.5 has a 56.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).