Ghost of Napoleon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 932 | 84% | 2018-09-02 | Lost |
| 986 | 1054 | 40% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 986 | 1054 | 40% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1014 | 73% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1037 | 59% | 2010-05-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 1029 | 60% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1139 | 60% | 1999-11-24 | Won |
| 1177 | 1100 | 61% | 1999-09-26 | Won |
| 1177 | 1100 | 61% | 1999-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1117.1 vs 1056.2 has a 58.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).