Oriola Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 1193 | 43% | 2026-03-09 | Won |
| 1152 | 1112 | 56% | 2020-01-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1179 | 30% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1123 | 969 | 71% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1167 | 38% | 2013-07-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1122 | 35% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1132 | 36% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1143 | 1112 | 54% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 982 | 1060 | 39% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2007-08-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1186 | 44% | 2005-08-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 1081 | 45% | 2003-06-25 | Won |
| 1383 | 1344 | 56% | 2003-05-14 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1107.6 vs 1126.9 has a 47.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).