Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (British): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-10-19 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2025-01-25 | | Tied |
| 880 | 1036 | 29% | 2017-12-16 | | Won |
| 914 | 1000 | 38% | 2017-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 1086 | 47% | 2013-08-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2006-09-24 | | Won |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2005-09-10 | | Won |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | 2005-07-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 983.4 vs 1024.9 has a 44.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).