The Fifth Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Polish): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1162 | 1162 | 50% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
1024 | 1142 | 34% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2018-08-09 | Lost |
862 | 881 | 47% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
1039 | 1019 | 53% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
1026 | 1143 | 34% | 2009-09-17 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1028 vs 1067 has a 44.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).