The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 1
Defender wins (Italian / Eritrean): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-08-24 | | Won |
| 935 | 1000 | 41% | 2022-05-15 | | Tied |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1027.5 vs 1000 has a 53.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).