Raiders of the Chaco
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Bolivian): 5
Defender wins (Paraguayan): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1098 | 51% | 2025-08-21 | Won |
| 974 | 1098 | 33% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 918 | 1032 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1065 | 46% | 2011-09-11 | Won |
| 890 | 928 | 45% | 2005-04-16 | Won |
| 832 | 1028 | 24% | 2003-10-06 | Lost |
| 1293 | 1127 | 72% | 1998-06-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1007.1 vs 1053.7 has a 43.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).