The Road to Mandalay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (3 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 7
Defender wins (Burmese): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 918 | 1032 | 34% | 2019-12-12 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1152 | 36% | 2005-10-03 | Won |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 1996-12-07 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1025.7 vs 1103.7 has a 38.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).