Marked For Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (14 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (French): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1101 | 983 | 66% | 2013-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-09-23 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2011-11-28 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2011-11-28 | | Won |
| 1080 | 695 | 90% | 2010-01-23 | | Won |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2006-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1435 | 22% | 2006-04-10 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-04-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1241 | 20% | 2004-07-25 | | Lost |
| 925 | 1074 | 30% | 2003-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 925 | 70% | 2002-09-22 | | Won |
| 980 | 1080 | 36% | 1998-07-05 | | Won |
| 1218 | 916 | 85% | 1998-03-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1013.6 vs 1055.9 has a 43.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).