Moldavian Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (14 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 37
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1282 | 1202 | 61% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 924 | 1170 | 20% | 2016-11-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 903 | 1014 | 35% | 2007-10-16 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2007-04-03 | Won |
| 1313 | 1145 | 72% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2006-06-28 | Won |
| 1189 | 1183 | 51% | 2006-06-03 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1053 | 44% | 2006-03-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1046 | 41% | 2005-10-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2005-04-12 | Won |
| 1336 | 1264 | 60% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1105.8 has a 43.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).