Moldavian Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (14 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 35
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1188 | 1139 | 57% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 898 | 1142 | 20% | 2016-11-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 903 | 1014 | 35% | 2007-10-16 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2007-04-03 | Won |
| 1333 | 1145 | 75% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2006-06-28 | Won |
| 1185 | 1183 | 50% | 2006-06-03 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1053 | 55% | 2006-03-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1046 | 41% | 2005-10-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-04-12 | Won |
| 1336 | 1210 | 67% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1095.6 has a 44.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).