Recapturing Ernage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (4 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 10
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 1010 | 40% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
| 1087 | 1113 | 46% | 2012-08-09 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1067.8 has a 46.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).