At the Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (8 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1061 | 58% | 2025-08-11 | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2024-12-11 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1066 | 45% | 2021-06-25 | Won |
| 1021 | 958 | 59% | 2013-07-24 | Lost |
| 958 | 1021 | 41% | 2013-07-23 | Lost |
| 1077 | 867 | 77% | 1999-05-05 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1019 | 52% | 1999-04-16 | Won |
| 1077 | 972 | 65% | 1988-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1033.1 vs 1015 has a 52.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).