Operation Nordwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (13 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 76
Defender wins (American): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1012 | 61% | 2019-10-16 | Won |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2019-08-06 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1135 | 69% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 962 | 1143 | 26% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1137 | 1086 | 57% | 2010-05-30 | Won |
| 830 | 1177 | 12% | 2005-03-05 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1068 | 50% | 2003-04-27 | Lost |
| 1201 | 971 | 79% | 2002-10-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 1999-12-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | 1998-12-29 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1180 | 43% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1129 | 1180 | 43% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1045 | 1034 | 52% | 1996-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1079.2 vs 1070.5 has a 51.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).