Operation Nordwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 968 | 67% | 2019-10-16 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1166 | 31% | 2019-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1271 | 1163 | 65% | 2018-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2017-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-02-07 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1041 | 47% | 2010-05-30 | | Won |
| 832 | 1040 | 23% | 2005-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2003-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2002-10-25 | | Won |
| 1158 | 754 | 91% | 1999-12-16 | | Won |
| 1042 | 1042 | 50% | 1998-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1212 | 23% | 1998-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1212 | 23% | 1998-08-01 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1029 | 56% | 1996-08-02 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1046.1 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).