Test of Nerves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 913 | 946 | 45% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 851 | 1113 | 18% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
| 915 | 1080 | 28% | 2017-01-27 | Won |
| 1131 | 1045 | 62% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1122 | 950 | 73% | 2014-11-09 | Lost |
| 950 | 1122 | 27% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1045 | 62% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
| 904 | 1102 | 24% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2008-12-11 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1036 | 78% | 2008-11-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1252 | 32% | 2006-03-27 | Won |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2004-03-01 | Won |
| 1176 | 834 | 88% | 2003-07-26 | Won |
| 950 | 903 | 57% | 2002-10-26 | Won |
| 1042 | 1104 | 41% | 1999-08-04 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-06-14 | Won |
| 873 | 1031 | 29% | 1998-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1022.9 vs 1038 has a 47.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).