Test of Nerves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1075 | 1015 | 59% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
1002 | 964 | 55% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
858 | 1151 | 16% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
916 | 1013 | 36% | 2017-01-27 | Won |
1132 | 1092 | 56% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
1039 | 927 | 66% | 2014-11-09 | Lost |
927 | 1039 | 34% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
1132 | 1092 | 56% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
904 | 1086 | 26% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
1092 | 1021 | 60% | 2008-12-11 | Lost |
1273 | 1029 | 80% | 2008-11-18 | Lost |
1124 | 1313 | 25% | 2006-03-27 | Won |
928 | 1009 | 39% | 2004-03-01 | Won |
1202 | 1121 | 61% | 2003-07-26 | Won |
927 | 905 | 53% | 2002-10-26 | Won |
1133 | 1092 | 56% | 1999-08-04 | Won |
1100 | 1096 | 51% | 1998-06-14 | Won |
872 | 1057 | 26% | 1998-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1035.3 vs 1056.8 has a 46.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).