Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (19 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 18
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1217 | 1073 | 70% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 899 | 888 | 52% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 998 | 1150 | 29% | 2024-12-27 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1039 | 50% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1251 | 39% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 913 | 1080 | 28% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
| 1142 | 1037 | 65% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2016-11-13 | Won |
| 992 | 943 | 57% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1061 | 47% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1245 | 1042 | 76% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1042 | 1131 | 37% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1251 | 25% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 1005 | 53% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 1075 has a 47.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).