Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (17 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 17
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 937 | 52% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1037 | 57% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1309 | 28% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 889 | 1073 | 26% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1070 | 52% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
| 1108 | 1021 | 62% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 1080 | 1218 | 31% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1061 | 53% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 978 | 1063 | 38% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1083 | 72% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1083 | 1195 | 34% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1309 | 22% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 1006 | 55% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
| 1169 | 1142 | 54% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1080 vs 1102.2 has a 46.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).