Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (17 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 17
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1051 | 56% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 966 | 914 | 57% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1039 | 57% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1313 | 26% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 908 | 1074 | 28% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1099 | 51% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
| 1100 | 1022 | 61% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
| 927 | 1065 | 31% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1061 | 53% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1244 | 1085 | 71% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1085 | 1132 | 43% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1313 | 23% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
| 1029 | 1006 | 53% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
| 1105 | 1144 | 44% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1071.2 vs 1083.8 has a 48.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).