Hammer to the Teeth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (American): 35
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2024-11-02 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1053 | 48% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 999 | 55% | 2024-09-07 | Won |
| 1053 | 1010 | 56% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 914 | 911 | 50% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
| 1069 | 1134 | 41% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 1246 | 19% | 2023-09-19 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1134 | 49% | 2023-05-06 | Lost |
| 1030 | 969 | 59% | 2022-12-05 | Won |
| 996 | 943 | 58% | 2022-11-11 | Won |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2022-08-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 969 | 59% | 2022-04-18 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 969 | 955 | 52% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 1049 | 940 | 65% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 979 | 945 | 55% | 2022-02-14 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1049 | 90% | 2022-01-08 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1143 | 1111 | 55% | 2021-07-30 | Won |
| 1063 | 1079 | 48% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1079 | 48% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 912 | 977 | 41% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 996 | 48% | 2020-11-26 | Won |
| 996 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 945 | 1141 | 24% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 976 | 1009 | 45% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 965 | 923 | 56% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 999 | 1040 | 44% | 2020-09-17 | Lost |
| 996 | 837 | 71% | 2020-08-25 | Won |
| 1165 | 1171 | 49% | 2020-06-29 | Won |
| 837 | 1163 | 13% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2020-05-08 | Tied |
| 1065 | 1048 | 52% | 2020-04-27 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 938 | 1048 | 35% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-02-07 | Won |
| 837 | 1040 | 24% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 923 | 873 | 57% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 923 | 1040 | 34% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
| 1021 | 989 | 55% | 2018-08-24 | Won |
| 1079 | 1056 | 53% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
| 1079 | 1056 | 53% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1162 | 1162 | 50% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 916 | 926 | 49% | 2017-07-15 | Won |
| 972 | 999 | 46% | 2017-07-10 | Lost |
| 953 | 1142 | 25% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 923 | 960 | 45% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 881 | 613 | 82% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
| 1126 | 1145 | 47% | 2016-01-25 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-08-17 | Won |
| 1063 | 926 | 69% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-03-14 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2014-02-22 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1183 | 54% | 2014-01-19 | Won |
| 1137 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-12-11 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 938 | 999 | 41% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1215 | 39% | 2012-06-23 | Lost |
| 951 | 960 | 49% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1040 | 972 | 60% | 2011-09-10 | Won |
| 938 | 999 | 41% | 2011-03-20 | Won |
| 933 | 943 | 49% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 940 | 983 | 44% | 2010-10-13 | Won |
| 1046 | 1215 | 27% | 2010-06-28 | Won |
| 1001 | 953 | 57% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-12-08 | Lost |
| 951 | 946 | 51% | 2009-09-15 | Lost |
| 924 | 1045 | 33% | 2009-08-12 | Won |
| 1006 | 915 | 63% | 2009-06-25 | Won |
| 880 | 999 | 34% | 2009-02-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 1039 | 39% | 2009-02-18 | Lost |
| 977 | 931 | 57% | 2008-10-14 | Lost |
| 931 | 1019 | 38% | 2008-08-24 | Tied |
| 955 | 1001 | 43% | 2008-06-18 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1052 | 44% | 2008-05-22 | Won |
| 984 | 1094 | 35% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 860 | 832 | 54% | 2006-07-03 | Won |
| 999 | 1010 | 48% | 2006-04-25 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-02-02 | Won |
Attacking (42 wins) average ELOs: 1014.8 vs 1024 has a 48.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).