88s at Zon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 113
Attacker wins (American): 51
Defender wins (German): 62
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-09-09 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-08-17 | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2024-07-19 | Won |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 950 | 982 | 45% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1024 | 50% | 2024-02-05 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1074 | 52% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1182 | 1208 | 46% | 2023-09-04 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-05-02 | Won |
| 932 | 942 | 49% | 2022-11-10 | Won |
| 916 | 884 | 55% | 2022-10-02 | Won |
| 1123 | 1030 | 63% | 2022-09-21 | Won |
| 1427 | 958 | 94% | 2022-08-13 | Won |
| 1154 | 1154 | 50% | 2022-07-27 | Won |
| 930 | 916 | 52% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1012 | 53% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 1123 | 1011 | 66% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 918 | 1019 | 36% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 940 | 1049 | 35% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 977 | 1016 | 44% | 2021-12-21 | Won |
| 1125 | 1144 | 47% | 2021-10-28 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1079 | 56% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1056 | 48% | 2021-07-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 969 | 52% | 2021-07-10 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2021-07-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 982 | 55% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
| 985 | 1037 | 43% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 964 | 73% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 981 | 964 | 52% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 932 | 1150 | 22% | 2020-09-24 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1034 | 47% | 2020-09-20 | Won |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2020-09-13 | Lost |
| 853 | 932 | 39% | 2020-09-10 | Lost |
| 932 | 1218 | 16% | 2020-09-01 | Lost |
| 1218 | 932 | 84% | 2020-08-21 | Won |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2020-08-16 | Won |
| 853 | 1168 | 14% | 2020-06-21 | Lost |
| 853 | 1168 | 14% | 2020-06-20 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1053 | 66% | 2020-06-11 | Won |
| 1053 | 1044 | 51% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1168 | 34% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 1168 | 992 | 73% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 1036 | 1044 | 49% | 2020-03-18 | Lost |
| 853 | 1019 | 28% | 2020-02-12 | Lost |
| 888 | 899 | 48% | 2019-12-21 | Lost |
| 1427 | 1427 | 50% | 2019-12-11 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1278 | 22% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 985 | 959 | 54% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1015 | 1050 | 45% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1173 | 985 | 75% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 922 | 1113 | 25% | 2019-07-13 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1019 | 53% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
| 1154 | 1082 | 60% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 961 | 877 | 62% | 2018-11-05 | Lost |
| 984 | 1015 | 46% | 2018-05-29 | Lost |
| 985 | 934 | 57% | 2018-02-24 | Won |
| 1110 | 1271 | 28% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
| 1001 | 1029 | 46% | 2017-09-24 | Won |
| 1026 | 1079 | 42% | 2017-07-25 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1128 | 58% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2017-06-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 960 | 58% | 2017-01-04 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
| 1019 | 877 | 69% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
| 867 | 877 | 49% | 2016-07-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1147 | 51% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 931 | 72% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1111 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-08-27 | Lost |
| 926 | 1063 | 31% | 2015-08-17 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-08-13 | Lost |
| 847 | 845 | 50% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1026 | 51% | 2015-03-21 | Won |
| 1036 | 1012 | 53% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
| 983 | 901 | 62% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
| 1225 | 1228 | 50% | 2015-01-11 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2014-08-30 | Won |
| 972 | 945 | 54% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-03-13 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2014-02-13 | Lost |
| 991 | 1208 | 22% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2012-10-27 | Lost |
| 1061 | 983 | 61% | 2012-08-26 | Won |
| 870 | 950 | 39% | 2012-08-24 | Lost |
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2011-02-23 | Won |
| 998 | 983 | 52% | 2010-09-22 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1004 | 51% | 2009-12-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
| 951 | 946 | 51% | 2009-08-10 | Lost |
| 962 | 1045 | 38% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1012 | 930 | 62% | 2009-05-27 | Lost |
| 951 | 948 | 50% | 2009-05-23 | Lost |
| 1045 | 942 | 64% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 966 | 1138 | 27% | 2009-03-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 913 | 85% | 2009-01-18 | Lost |
| 966 | 1017 | 43% | 2008-12-12 | Lost |
| 966 | 976 | 49% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
| 966 | 942 | 53% | 2008-08-20 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1016 | 68% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 1216 | 34% | 2007-11-17 | Won |
| 1081 | 1205 | 33% | 2007-06-05 | Lost |
| 1002 | 956 | 57% | 2007-02-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 955 | 57% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
| 1114 | 984 | 68% | 2006-06-24 | Won |
| 973 | 832 | 69% | 2006-05-06 | Won |
| 1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-04-18 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-02-23 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1086 | 47% | 2006-01-22 | Won |
Attacking (51 wins) average ELOs: 1029 vs 1031.3 has a 49.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).