Over Open Sights
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 187 (83 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 83
Defender wins (American): 102
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 3
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2026-07-11 | Won | |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2026-07-11 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 859 | 69% | 2026-07-10 | Won | |
| 1038 | 963 | 61% | 2026-05-20 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2026-05-06 | D | Lost |
| 963 | 1038 | 39% | 2026-03-27 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 980 | 53% | 2025-10-18 | Lost | |
| 1015 | 992 | 53% | 2024-11-07 | Won | |
| 1098 | 1097 | 50% | 2024-10-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2024-08-28 | Lost | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2024-07-20 | Won | |
| 1219 | 988 | 79% | 2024-07-06 | Won | |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-02-24 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1294 | 16% | 2023-08-13 | Lost | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-04-29 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 970 | 54% | 2022-11-15 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-11-12 | Lost | |
| 954 | 1431 | 6% | 2022-08-06 | Lost | |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2022-07-04 | Lost | |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-05-06 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2022-03-22 | Lost | |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-01-13 | Won | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-11-04 | Lost | |
| 892 | 978 | 38% | 2021-09-24 | Won | |
| 861 | 1000 | 31% | 2021-08-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2021-08-03 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1143 | 31% | 2021-08-02 | Lost | |
| 1143 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-07-23 | Won | |
| 984 | 1006 | 47% | 2021-06-18 | Lost | |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2021-04-24 | Lost | |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-03-08 | Tied | |
| 1140 | 964 | 73% | 2020-12-21 | Won | |
| 1014 | 1227 | 23% | 2020-09-28 | Won | |
| 1014 | 1227 | 23% | 2020-09-04 | Lost | |
| 980 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-08-31 | Won | |
| 1298 | 974 | 87% | 2020-07-29 | Lost | |
| 974 | 1298 | 13% | 2020-07-17 | Won | |
| 945 | 1147 | 24% | 2020-07-01 | Lost | |
| 1045 | 1164 | 34% | 2020-03-27 | Lost | |
| 1164 | 1102 | 59% | 2020-03-22 | Won | |
| 932 | 843 | 63% | 2019-12-17 | Lost | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2019-12-14 | Won | |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2019-10-15 | Lost | |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-09-29 | Won | |
| 1172 | 954 | 78% | 2019-08-05 | Lost | |
| 880 | 926 | 43% | 2019-02-22 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2018-10-27 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1054 | 42% | 2018-05-14 | Lost | |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-03-17 | Won | |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-03-12 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2017-11-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2017-08-08 | Lost | |
| 1142 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-06-15 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2017-05-22 | Lost | |
| 1076 | 880 | 76% | 2016-09-05 | Won | |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2016-08-02 | Tied | |
| 926 | 1063 | 31% | 2016-04-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2016-04-18 | Lost | |
| 885 | 980 | 37% | 2016-04-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2015-12-25 | Lost | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-09-02 | Won | |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-09-21 | Won | |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2014-06-18 | Won | |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2014-02-26 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2013-12-22 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2013-03-18 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2013-03-02 | Lost | |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-10-22 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2011-02-18 | Lost | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-07-21 | Lost | |
| 1029 | 1020 | 51% | 2010-06-07 | Won | |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-11-10 | Won | |
| 957 | 1045 | 38% | 2009-10-15 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2008-02-16 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2008-02-16 | Lost | |
| 917 | 1000 | 38% | 2007-12-11 | Lost | |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2007-08-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2006-08-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-05-08 | Won | |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-04-13 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2006-03-21 | Lost | |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-01-13 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2005-12-29 | Lost |
Attacking (33 wins) average ELOs: 1020.9 vs 1041.8 has a 46.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).