Under a Sky of Lead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (8 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Free French): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1060 | 40% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 900 | 755 | 70% | 2022-06-06 | Won |
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-03-16 | Won |
| 830 | 1139 | 14% | 2002-08-23 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1051 | 54% | 1999-11-12 | Won |
| 1147 | 1068 | 61% | 1999-10-30 | Won |
| 1068 | 1147 | 39% | 1999-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1015.5 vs 1036.1 has a 47.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).