Under a Sky of Lead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (5 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Free French): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1097 | 33% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 894 | 812 | 62% | 2022-06-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-03-16 | Won |
| 844 | 1126 | 16% | 2002-08-23 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1084 | 53% | 1999-11-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 967.8 vs 1034.8 has a 40.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).