Cut the Road to Marseille
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (8 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 22
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 989 | 57% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1015 | 1064 | 43% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1228 | 39% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1032 | 47% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1068 | 963 | 65% | 2008-04-27 | Lost |
| 890 | 1068 | 26% | 2004-06-30 | Won |
| 1177 | 830 | 88% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1067.6 vs 1031.9 has a 55.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).