Cut the Road to Marseille
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (6 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 21
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 1062 | 50% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1002 | 1033 | 46% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1168 | 47% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 986 | 53% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 847 | 85% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1018.2 has a 56.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).