Cut the Road to Marseille
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (5 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 20
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 977 | 67% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1002 | 1048 | 43% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1192 | 44% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1007 | 50% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1126 | 844 | 84% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1076.6 vs 1013.6 has a 58.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).