ASL Scenario Archive

Strayer's Strays

Games with no balance used/recorded: 40

Attacker wins (American): 17

Defender wins (German): 23

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1173	1174	50%	2023-06-17	Lost
983	1081	36%	2022-12-30	Lost
1007	982	54%	2022-01-10	Lost
974	1046	40%	2021-09-26	Won
1046	974	60%	2021-09-26	Lost
919	1160	20%	2021-06-20	Won
1100	904	76%	2020-09-04	Lost
1220	1085	69%	2020-09-02	Won
1088	1088	50%	2020-06-28	Won
1137	1208	40%	2018-11-09	Lost
908	1043	31%	2018-05-01	Won
938	1158	22%	2018-01-01	Won
988	994	49%	2017-06-02	Won
938	1158	22%	2017-04-04	Lost
1058	1075	48%	2017-03-10	Lost
1234	1139	63%	2017-03-06	Won
967	1077	35%	2017-01-15	Lost
1015	1029	48%	2017-01-12	Lost
938	1158	22%	2017-01-01	Won
1029	1015	52%	2016-11-24	Lost
1080	1077	50%	2016-09-28	Won
1040	1108	40%	2016-06-16	Lost
981	846	69%	2015-12-08	Lost
981	846	69%	2015-12-08	Lost
1169	1226	42%	2015-07-25	Lost
1023	1022	50%	2015-07-22	Won
1138	984	71%	2014-02-08	Won
1015	1000	52%	2011-12-01	Lost
1099	943	71%	2011-01-14	Won
984	1056	40%	2010-03-31	Lost
1095	974	67%	2010-02-19	Lost
1026	1026	50%	2007-08-26	Won
1058	1019	56%	2004-01-20	Lost
967	1034	40%	2001-04-22	Won
967	1110	31%	1999-06-22	Won
1026	1041	48%	1998-12-28	Lost
986	1159	27%	1998-08-23	Lost
929	1060	32%	1998-06-12	Lost
1026	949	61%	1997-11-16	Won
1003	1313	14%	1996-09-01	Lost

Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1031.3 vs 1058.5 has a 46.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).