Gambit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (19 on the archive and 83 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 31
Defender wins (German): 70
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2025-04-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2025-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2025-02-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2024-03-25 | A | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2017-06-01 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1147 | 15% | 2017-01-14 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2015-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-01-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2007-09-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2005-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2005-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2002-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 1999-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 1998-10-25 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1038.1 vs 1036.2 has a 50.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).