The Dead of Winter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1250 | 769 | 94% | 2020-11-23 | Won |
| 1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1016 | 49% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 919 | 1240 | 14% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1041 | 1094 | 42% | 2016-11-02 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1099 | 48% | 2004-09-29 | Won |
| 1084 | 1089 | 49% | 1997-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1047 has a 52.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).