Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (28 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (American): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 942 | 50% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 914 | 940 | 46% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1030 | 54% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 932 | 856 | 61% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 913 | 1030 | 34% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 1224 | 856 | 89% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-09-07 | Lost |
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 1100 | 1180 | 39% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1075 | 908 | 72% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 949 | 64% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 991 | 1009 | 47% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1064 | 1086 | 47% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1066 | 60% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 969 | 896 | 60% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1155 | 63% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2015-04-17 | Lost |
| 1154 | 970 | 74% | 2014-11-27 | Won |
| 1154 | 904 | 81% | 2014-11-14 | Tied |
| 1008 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 1086 | 33% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 1412 | 1084 | 87% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 1412 | 1083 | 87% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1047 | 45% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1089 | 940 | 70% | 1998-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1074.5 vs 1007.9 has a 59.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).