Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (American): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1027 | 68% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1025 | 66% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2024-09-23 | Won |
| 1073 | 1051 | 53% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1055 | 48% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 975 | 981 | 49% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 893 | 77% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 1124 | 1089 | 55% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1111 | 76% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
| 993 | 1074 | 39% | 2018-06-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 983 | 73% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1132 | 1092 | 56% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1085 | 927 | 71% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1085 | 927 | 71% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 846 | 827 | 53% | 2015-08-17 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1075 | 70% | 2015-02-05 | Won |
| 1153 | 1100 | 58% | 2014-12-16 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1223 | 30% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1107 | 1154 | 43% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 1100 | 21% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 1148 | 976 | 73% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1060 | 54% | 2009-05-24 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-03-05 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1000 | 70% | 2005-10-08 | Won |
| 1148 | 1323 | 27% | 2004-10-08 | Lost |
| 1107 | 981 | 67% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 1076 | 1148 | 40% | 1996-12-04 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1177 | 39% | 1995-10-15 | Lost |
| 872 | 1057 | 26% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1030 | 1079 | 43% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1077.3 vs 1051.9 has a 53.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).