First Crisis at Army Group North
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (6 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2016-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 987 | 81% | 2005-05-21 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2002-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 1999-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1056.5 vs 1045 has a 51.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).