The Hedgehog of Piepsk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (3 on the archive and 129 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 79
Defender wins (German): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2026-05-10 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2009-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1058 | 64% | 2007-11-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1139.3 vs 1019.3 has a 66.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).