The Guards Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 573 (19 on the archive and 554 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 282
Defender wins (German): 291
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 875 | 996 | 33% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
| 1165 | 1021 | 70% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 887 | 869 | 53% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 1094 | 944 | 70% | 2014-03-05 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-25 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1035 | 51% | 2013-03-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2011-12-15 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 1015 | 1026 | 48% | 2010-03-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2009-08-12 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1126 | 39% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
| 1061 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-01-20 | Won |
| 1086 | 1111 | 46% | 2004-09-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1152 | 27% | 2003-05-20 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1215 | 29% | 1999-02-15 | Lost |
| 1093 | 985 | 65% | 1992-06-14 | Lost |
| 1089 | 940 | 70% | 1990-09-01 | Won |
| 1116 | 1015 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1038.5 vs 1027.2 has a 51.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).