The Guards Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 577 (19 on the archive and 558 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 283
Defender wins (German): 294
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 876 | 1028 | 29% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
| 1086 | 1022 | 59% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 889 | 1005 | 34% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 1107 | 943 | 72% | 2014-03-05 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-25 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1035 | 51% | 2013-03-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1139 | 48% | 2011-12-15 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 1097 | 1029 | 60% | 2010-03-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 906 | 60% | 2009-08-12 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1125 | 39% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
| 1065 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-01-20 | Won |
| 1086 | 1117 | 46% | 2004-09-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1127 | 31% | 2003-05-20 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1215 | 30% | 1999-02-15 | Lost |
| 1136 | 985 | 70% | 1992-06-14 | Lost |
| 1035 | 943 | 63% | 1990-09-01 | Won |
| 1105 | 1097 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1039.2 vs 1039.1 has a 50.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).