Surrender Or Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (22 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 73
Defender wins (American): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 975 | 61% | 2024-07-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2020-03-30 | Won |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1014 | 65% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1125 | 984 | 69% | 2014-11-30 | Lost |
| 986 | 1148 | 28% | 2014-03-15 | Lost |
| 962 | 1143 | 26% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 984 | 996 | 48% | 2013-12-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1072 | 46% | 2012-01-28 | Won |
| 1012 | 1041 | 46% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 1021 | 43% | 2009-01-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 956 | 59% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
| 1082 | 984 | 64% | 2008-08-09 | Won |
| 950 | 1068 | 34% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
| 1068 | 950 | 66% | 2007-12-04 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1204 | 28% | 2007-01-27 | Tied |
| 1059 | 1046 | 52% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2005-12-23 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1102 | 73% | 2005-04-03 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2005-02-26 | Won |
| 1013 | 1053 | 44% | 2005-02-24 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1030.8 vs 1040.3 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).