Surrender Or Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (23 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (American): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 986 | 56% | 2024-07-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 977 | 55% | 2020-03-30 | Won |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1013 | 63% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1002 | 69% | 2014-11-30 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2014-07-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1149 | 28% | 2014-03-15 | Lost |
| 909 | 1144 | 21% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 969 | 55% | 2013-12-23 | Won |
| 1035 | 950 | 62% | 2012-01-28 | Won |
| 992 | 1097 | 35% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 991 | 47% | 2009-01-16 | Won |
| 991 | 956 | 55% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2008-08-09 | Won |
| 950 | 1060 | 35% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
| 1060 | 950 | 65% | 2007-12-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1204 | 28% | 2007-01-27 | Tied |
| 1059 | 1046 | 52% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 907 | 1009 | 36% | 2005-12-23 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1156 | 61% | 2005-04-03 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2005-02-26 | Won |
| 1013 | 993 | 53% | 2005-02-24 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1023.3 vs 1032.9 has a 48.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).