Riposte
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (19 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (American): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1226 | 25% | 2025-02-14 | | Lost |
| 856 | 1000 | 30% | 2022-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1080 | 50% | 2021-10-22 | | Won |
| 856 | 1000 | 30% | 2018-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2012-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 985 | 57% | 2011-06-30 | | Won |
| 954 | 1103 | 30% | 2011-02-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2009-06-17 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2007-06-02 | | Won |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-07-02 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2006-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-06-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2006-04-29 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2005-10-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2004-05-26 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-02-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2001-02-15 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2000-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1028.6 has a 49.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).