The Factory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (11 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1075 | 39% | 2025-08-16 | | Won |
| 912 | 1159 | 19% | 2025-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2025-02-19 | | Won |
| 916 | 982 | 41% | 2021-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2016-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2002-09-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2002-09-03 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2000-10-14 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1078 | 35% | 2000-10-01 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1015.2 vs 1080.1 has a 40.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).