The Factory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (12 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 29
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-09-28 | | Won |
| 971 | 1098 | 32% | 2025-08-16 | | Won |
| 912 | 1150 | 20% | 2025-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2025-02-19 | | Won |
| 916 | 982 | 41% | 2021-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2016-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2002-09-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2002-09-03 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2000-10-14 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1059 | 37% | 2000-10-01 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1012.1 vs 1071.8 has a 41.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).