The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 125 (24 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 64
Defender wins (German): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 963 | 999 | 45% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 861 | 878 | 48% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 896 | 1065 | 27% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1228 | 949 | 83% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 881 | 946 | 41% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1022 | 80% | 2018-02-23 | Won |
| 1026 | 1019 | 51% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1077 | 1079 | 50% | 2016-10-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2016-05-22 | Won |
| 1020 | 1172 | 29% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
| 942 | 919 | 53% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1002 | 1008 | 49% | 2010-12-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2010-08-13 | Lost |
| 979 | 988 | 49% | 2009-01-21 | Won |
| 1076 | 893 | 74% | 2007-12-04 | Won |
| 827 | 920 | 37% | 2002-03-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1084 | 58% | 2001-10-07 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 1998-01-06 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1028.4 vs 1007.5 has a 53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).