The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 1002 | 44% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 861 | 856 | 51% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 845 | 1051 | 23% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1214 | 946 | 82% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 881 | 946 | 41% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1195 | 958 | 80% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
| 901 | 1020 | 34% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1065 | 1073 | 49% | 2016-10-19 | Lost |
| 1213 | 873 | 88% | 2016-05-22 | Won |
| 1020 | 1113 | 37% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
| 942 | 918 | 53% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1006 | 1008 | 50% | 2010-12-20 | Lost |
| 958 | 992 | 45% | 2009-01-21 | Won |
| 1009 | 892 | 66% | 2007-12-04 | Won |
| 829 | 920 | 37% | 2002-03-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1043 | 46% | 1998-01-06 | Won |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1004.5 vs 1002.1 has a 50.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).