Shklov's Labors Lost
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 499 (77 on the archive and 422 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 269
Defender wins (Russian): 229
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 984 | 1019 | 45% | 2025-09-08 | Won |
| 1043 | 1040 | 50% | 2024-10-03 | Won |
| 938 | 1023 | 38% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2024-06-09 | Won |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 878 | 884 | 49% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1067 | 52% | 2023-09-19 | Won |
| 1102 | 986 | 66% | 2023-09-06 | Won |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 1092 | 35% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 891 | 896 | 49% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1043 | 959 | 62% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1043 | 1035 | 51% | 2022-09-05 | Won |
| 940 | 898 | 56% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 969 | 988 | 47% | 2021-09-28 | Won |
| 991 | 938 | 58% | 2021-03-18 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 748 | 1224 | 6% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1029 | 780 | 81% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 984 | 989 | 49% | 2020-03-12 | Won |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 2020-03-03 | Won |
| 985 | 964 | 53% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1017 | 1217 | 24% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 948 | 938 | 51% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
| 984 | 998 | 48% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1002 | 58% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 992 | 1133 | 31% | 2018-02-05 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1038 | 47% | 2017-05-26 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1029 | 47% | 2017-04-15 | Lost |
| 1018 | 964 | 58% | 2017-03-12 | Won |
| 1242 | 1042 | 76% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
| 1053 | 964 | 63% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1019 | 1188 | 27% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 958 | 1083 | 33% | 2016-07-13 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1040 | 53% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 830 | 850 | 47% | 2016-04-10 | Won |
| 1076 | 964 | 66% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1099 | 943 | 71% | 2016-02-22 | Won |
| 1174 | 1173 | 50% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 938 | 1158 | 22% | 2014-11-11 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1131 | 43% | 2014-05-19 | Won |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 1071 | 996 | 61% | 2013-07-12 | Lost |
| 900 | 1088 | 25% | 2013-03-22 | Lost |
| 1039 | 915 | 67% | 2013-02-16 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1164 | 46% | 2012-11-10 | Lost |
| 984 | 961 | 53% | 2012-07-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1120 | 35% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1093 | 870 | 78% | 2011-12-29 | Won |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2011-10-14 | Lost |
| 891 | 884 | 51% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-09 | Lost |
| 1150 | 936 | 77% | 2011-01-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1022 | 45% | 2010-05-21 | Won |
| 1196 | 951 | 80% | 2009-08-16 | Lost |
| 938 | 1129 | 25% | 2009-03-21 | Lost |
| 971 | 1005 | 45% | 2009-01-31 | Lost |
| 989 | 938 | 57% | 2009-01-01 | Tied |
| 1027 | 1102 | 39% | 2008-10-11 | Won |
| 1156 | 1156 | 50% | 2004-05-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 939 | 72% | 2004-04-24 | Lost |
| 1286 | 1251 | 55% | 2004-04-17 | Won |
| 1045 | 1101 | 42% | 2004-04-10 | Won |
| 957 | 982 | 46% | 2002-03-26 | Lost |
| 1080 | 845 | 79% | 2000-07-10 | Lost |
| 1342 | 952 | 90% | 2000-06-09 | Won |
| 1159 | 987 | 73% | 1999-07-29 | Won |
| 1113 | 998 | 66% | 1999-02-03 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 1998-09-02 | Lost |
| 1342 | 919 | 92% | 1998-04-11 | Won |
| 1159 | 969 | 75% | 1994-07-17 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1029 | 67% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (36 wins) average ELOs: 1033.5 vs 1012.3 has a 53.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).