Ranger Stronghold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 262 (48 on the archive and 214 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 176
Defender wins (American): 86
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2025-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2023-01-14 | | Lost |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2020-10-13 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1009 | 60% | 2020-05-06 | | Won |
| 780 | 1031 | 19% | 2020-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 916 | 78% | 2020-02-11 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2019-04-25 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-04-09 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-01-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2018-11-25 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-04-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2017-03-04 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-03-04 | | Won |
| 952 | 889 | 59% | 2017-03-02 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2017-02-26 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2017-01-19 | | Won |
| 950 | 1014 | 41% | 2017-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2017-01-10 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-07-05 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2016-03-15 | | Won |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-01-10 | | Won |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2015-02-09 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2014-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2014-08-29 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2012-05-19 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2010-12-15 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-05-28 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 2010-04-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2009-08-10 | | Won |
| 1080 | 695 | 90% | 2009-04-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-03-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-03-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2008-10-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 906 | 63% | 2008-09-17 | | Won |
| 1167 | 893 | 83% | 2007-11-30 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2007-11-01 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2007-10-16 | | Won |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2007-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2007-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2005-11-05 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1151 | 31% | 2004-04-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2002-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2001-05-13 | | Won |
| 1344 | 1009 | 87% | 2000-07-21 | | Won |
| 1344 | 919 | 92% | 1998-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 1996-10-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (37 wins) average ELOs: 1038.5 vs 1002.4 has a 55.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).