The Puma Prowls
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 509 (112 on the archive and 398 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 237
Defender wins (German): 271
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1020 | 850 | 73% | 2025-12-08 | Won | |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-10-23 | Won | |
| 933 | 1017 | 38% | 2025-08-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2025-03-24 | Lost | |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2025-01-19 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2024-09-29 | Lost | |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-07-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2024-01-31 | Won | |
| 990 | 1000 | 49% | 2024-01-20 | Won | |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2024-01-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2024-01-13 | Lost | |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2024-01-13 | Won | |
| 1033 | 1002 | 54% | 2024-01-09 | Lost | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-10-30 | D | Won |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2023-01-22 | Lost | |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-01-15 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2022-10-14 | Won | |
| 1000 | 912 | 62% | 2022-06-16 | Won | |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2021-11-12 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2021-11-10 | Lost | |
| 1172 | 1006 | 72% | 2021-10-04 | Won | |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-06-12 | Lost | |
| 978 | 1132 | 29% | 2021-03-25 | Lost | |
| 932 | 1000 | 40% | 2021-01-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2020-12-17 | Won | |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2020-11-26 | Lost | |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2020-11-26 | Lost | |
| 1047 | 1169 | 33% | 2020-08-30 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 924 | 61% | 2020-05-10 | Won | |
| 924 | 981 | 42% | 2020-04-23 | Lost | |
| 989 | 985 | 51% | 2020-02-18 | Won | |
| 932 | 843 | 63% | 2020-02-13 | Lost | |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-01-23 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2020-01-23 | Lost | |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-01-08 | Lost | |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2019-12-07 | Lost | |
| 1134 | 1035 | 64% | 2019-07-13 | Won | |
| 1142 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-01-20 | Won | |
| 1119 | 1216 | 36% | 2018-12-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2018-12-09 | Lost | |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2018-12-08 | Won | |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-09-21 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2018-07-21 | Won | |
| 1008 | 1041 | 45% | 2018-02-24 | Lost | |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-12-22 | Won | |
| 950 | 969 | 47% | 2017-11-04 | Lost | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2017-10-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2017-02-19 | Lost | |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2017-02-12 | Won | |
| 1149 | 901 | 81% | 2016-12-31 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2016-12-22 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2016-08-21 | Lost | |
| 1023 | 964 | 58% | 2016-08-11 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2016-06-09 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2016-03-06 | Lost | |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2016-01-17 | Won | |
| 1028 | 926 | 64% | 2015-09-20 | Lost | |
| 1116 | 1136 | 47% | 2015-05-05 | Lost | |
| 1134 | 1033 | 64% | 2014-11-07 | Won | |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-11-02 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2014-10-14 | Tied | |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2014-09-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2014-03-30 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2014-03-29 | Lost | |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-03-28 | Won | |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-03-27 | Won | |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-04-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2013-03-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2012-09-08 | Won | |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-06-23 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2011-12-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2011-11-25 | Lost | |
| 1209 | 1000 | 77% | 2011-09-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2011-06-23 | Lost | |
| 913 | 985 | 40% | 2011-01-07 | Lost | |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2010-10-06 | Lost | |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-07-29 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2010-05-02 | Lost | |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-18 | Won | |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2009-08-09 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2009-06-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-02-28 | Lost | |
| 1209 | 1000 | 77% | 2008-11-22 | Won | |
| 1209 | 1000 | 77% | 2008-11-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2008-02-21 | Won | |
| 905 | 1012 | 35% | 2008-01-13 | Lost | |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2007-03-31 | Lost | |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2007-03-31 | Lost | |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2006-11-30 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2006-11-30 | Won | |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2006-11-20 | Won | |
| 862 | 1000 | 31% | 2006-09-02 | Won | |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2006-08-03 | Won | |
| 1076 | 917 | 71% | 2006-07-21 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2006-06-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2006-01-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2004-08-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2004-03-03 | Lost | |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2004-03-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2004-01-30 | Lost | |
| 907 | 1121 | 23% | 2003-09-12 | Lost | |
| 907 | 1119 | 23% | 2003-08-17 | Lost | |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2001-03-22 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2000-07-24 | Won | |
| 1009 | 1343 | 13% | 2000-07-19 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2000-07-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1999-10-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 1999-04-30 | Won | |
| 1002 | 1050 | 43% | 1998-06-18 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1997-06-06 | Won | |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 1997-01-21 | Lost |
Attacking (53 wins) average ELOs: 1029.2 vs 1029.7 has a 49.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).