The Bitche Salient
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (8 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (American): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1298 | 26% | 2026-10-31 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-27 | | Won |
| 904 | 909 | 49% | 2019-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1033 | 64% | 2016-08-21 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2015-05-22 | | Won |
| 1084 | 957 | 68% | 2015-01-05 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1994-12-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1087.9 vs 1043.4 has a 56.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).