The Bitche Salient
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1195 | 22% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 884 | 910 | 46% | 2019-01-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1036 | 54% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2015-05-22 | Won |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2015-01-05 | Won |
| 1264 | 1149 | 66% | 1998-06-07 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1175 | 41% | 1994-12-17 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1079.9 vs 1086.9 has a 48.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).