Buchholz Station
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (16 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (American): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1040 | 50% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 984 | 979 | 51% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 979 | 51% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 960 | 1133 | 27% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1003 | 977 | 54% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1036 | 54% | 2014-07-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-11-07 | Won |
| 1121 | 1060 | 59% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2006-01-25 | Lost |
| 833 | 1170 | 13% | 2003-05-17 | Won |
| 1150 | 1170 | 47% | 2002-03-09 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1056 | 56% | 1998-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 997.4 vs 1035.4 has a 44.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).