Escape from Velikiye Luki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1252 | 19% | 2025-05-31 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1105 | 56% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1099 | 50% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1086 | 66% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 941 | 1054 | 34% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 941 | 1054 | 34% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1092 | 43% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1009 | 1193 | 26% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1074 | 1100 | 46% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1074 | 54% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 944 | 1092 | 30% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1264 | 986 | 83% | 2015-04-12 | Won |
| 1029 | 1075 | 43% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 888 | 998 | 35% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
| 1019 | 1054 | 45% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 996 | 1051 | 42% | 2013-09-17 | Lost |
| 890 | 951 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | Won |
| 890 | 969 | 39% | 2013-09-02 | Won |
| 995 | 1066 | 40% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 963 | 1209 | 20% | 2012-05-11 | Won |
| 1153 | 1113 | 56% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
| 1199 | 920 | 83% | 2011-04-19 | Lost |
| 1001 | 871 | 68% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
| 1025 | 990 | 55% | 2006-11-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1133 | 41% | 2000-01-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1075 | 50% | 1998-07-12 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1025.1 vs 1050.2 has a 46.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).