The Coconut Plantation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (9 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 21
Defender wins (Australian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1179 | 45% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
| 1317 | 1119 | 76% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 1031 | 963 | 60% | 2011-05-21 | Won |
| 1029 | 1129 | 36% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1080 | 62% | 2006-09-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1035 | 49% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1160 | 944 | 78% | 2005-10-28 | Lost |
| 959 | 1078 | 34% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1085.7 vs 1050.6 has a 55.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).