Escape to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2023-11-17 | Won |
| 1033 | 960 | 60% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 956 | 767 | 75% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1078 | 55% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1110 | 1078 | 55% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1097 | 1219 | 33% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-11-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1045 | 52% | 2010-12-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1074 | 42% | 2008-01-01 | Lost |
| 983 | 1013 | 46% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 928 | 1111 | 26% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2005-02-04 | Won |
| 890 | 928 | 45% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1116 | 48% | 2004-05-07 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1152 | 64% | 2004-03-21 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2004-02-21 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2004-02-10 | Won |
| 1022 | 1181 | 29% | 2004-01-28 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1147 | 51% | 2004-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.6 vs 1056.7 has a 50.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).