My Lonely Valentine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (8 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 949 | 70% | 2026-11-08 | D | Won |
| 987 | 930 | 58% | 2018-07-01 | | Won |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-01-13 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2013-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2005-11-26 | | Won |
| 1041 | 1000 | 56% | 2004-04-12 | | Won |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2003-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2002-12-27 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1019.8 vs 980.3 has a 55.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).