My Lonely Valentine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 930 | 58% | 2018-07-01 | Won |
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 973 | 1094 | 33% | 2013-08-15 | Lost |
| 1068 | 973 | 63% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 982 | 847 | 69% | 2003-02-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2002-12-27 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1018.7 vs 925.3 has a 63.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).