Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (10 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 26
Defender wins (French): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1001 | 53% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1021 | 1021 | 50% | 2023-01-08 | Lost |
| 1018 | 959 | 58% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 873 | 913 | 44% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1216 | 45% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 894 | 1071 | 27% | 2013-02-26 | Won |
| 870 | 986 | 34% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1162 | 56% | 2007-05-05 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1008 | 67% | 2003-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1023.7 vs 1037.4 has a 48.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).