Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (10 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 26
Defender wins (French): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2024-06-24 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2023-01-08 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1050 | 42% | 2021-12-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2020-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2017-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2013-02-26 | | Won |
| 870 | 1000 | 32% | 2012-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2007-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2003-01-12 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1022.7 vs 1010.7 has a 51.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).