Dress Rehearsal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (32 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German (SS)): 92
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 1105 | 27% | 2025-11-19 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 955 | 56% | 2024-11-15 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 955 | 56% | 2024-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1081 | 1000 | 61% | 2023-08-23 | | Won |
| 1182 | 894 | 84% | 2022-11-28 | | Won |
| 800 | 1182 | 10% | 2022-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2022-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1209 | 23% | 2021-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1208 | 26% | 2020-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-06-19 | | Won |
| 978 | 1196 | 22% | 2020-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2020-04-08 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-03-13 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1055 | 41% | 2019-05-18 | | Lost |
| 906 | 1000 | 37% | 2019-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 940 | 63% | 2016-08-23 | | Won |
| 962 | 1135 | 27% | 2014-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1000 | 77% | 2013-06-18 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-01-21 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1263 | 16% | 2009-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1113 | 34% | 2009-09-18 | | Lost |
| 897 | 1093 | 24% | 2008-07-22 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1233 | 20% | 2007-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1014 | 55% | 2006-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1065 | 41% | 2006-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1100 | 40% | 2004-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 995 | 74% | 2002-10-12 | | Won |
| 982 | 1096 | 34% | 2002-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1072 | 48% | 2002-01-01 | | Won |
| 1366 | 1145 | 78% | 2001-10-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1202 | 24% | | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1031.3 vs 1065.6 has a 45.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).