Dress Rehearsal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (32 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German (SS)): 92
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2025-11-19 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2024-11-15 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2024-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-08-23 | | Won |
| 1258 | 989 | 82% | 2022-11-28 | | Won |
| 732 | 1258 | 5% | 2022-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2022-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2021-09-19 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1226 | 19% | 2020-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1000 | 66% | 2020-06-19 | | Won |
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2020-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-04-08 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1055 | 49% | 2019-05-18 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2019-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 928 | 70% | 2016-08-23 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1135 | 36% | 2014-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2013-06-18 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-01-21 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1219 | 20% | 2009-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2009-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1031 | 74% | 2008-07-22 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1233 | 20% | 2007-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1034 | 53% | 2006-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2006-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1087 | 48% | 2004-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 980 | 72% | 2002-10-12 | | Won |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2002-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1026 | 1078 | 43% | 2002-01-01 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1099 | 80% | 2001-10-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1069.4 has a 47.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).