Canicatti
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 993 | 1021 | 46% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 939 | 61% | 2022-04-21 | Won |
| 969 | 916 | 58% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1028 | 73% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 932 | 1146 | 23% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1142 | 42% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1211 | 26% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 928 | 66% | 2020-08-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1113 | 54% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 985 | 54% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 945 | 1076 | 32% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
| 939 | 1144 | 24% | 2017-07-14 | Won |
| 1084 | 966 | 66% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 1094 | 989 | 65% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 1084 | 1094 | 49% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1114 | 55% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 869 | 71% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 963 | 1070 | 35% | 2012-04-13 | Won |
| 1126 | 966 | 72% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1025 | 45% | 2009-11-10 | Lost |
| 980 | 1101 | 33% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
| 892 | 1034 | 31% | 2006-10-18 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1120 | 48% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1060 | 42% | 2004-04-12 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1060 | 63% | 2004-03-22 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1122 | 50% | 2002-09-24 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1048 | 72% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
| 908 | 1076 | 28% | 2002-03-29 | Lost |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2001-12-27 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-09-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2001-08-21 | Won |
| 1006 | 1344 | 13% | 2000-02-14 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1039.9 vs 1044.9 has a 49.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).