Canicatti
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 993 | 988 | 51% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 952 | 62% | 2022-04-21 | Won |
| 980 | 916 | 59% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1028 | 73% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 932 | 1129 | 24% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 968 | 1143 | 27% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 986 | 881 | 65% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 888 | 71% | 2020-08-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1113 | 54% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 985 | 54% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 988 | 964 | 53% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 946 | 1113 | 28% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
| 909 | 1144 | 21% | 2017-07-14 | Won |
| 968 | 995 | 46% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 1097 | 990 | 65% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 1084 | 1097 | 48% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1113 | 52% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 869 | 71% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 962 | 1052 | 37% | 2012-04-13 | Won |
| 1108 | 966 | 69% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1026 | 44% | 2009-11-10 | Lost |
| 980 | 1101 | 33% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
| 892 | 1034 | 31% | 2006-10-18 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1120 | 48% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1070 | 40% | 2004-04-12 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2004-03-22 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1122 | 51% | 2002-09-24 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1021 | 75% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
| 908 | 1113 | 24% | 2002-03-29 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2001-12-27 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-09-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2001-08-21 | Won |
| 1022 | 1342 | 14% | 2000-02-14 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1037.9 has a 49.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).