ASL Scenario Archive

Canicatti

Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (37 on the archive and 105 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (American): 63

Defender wins (German): 78

With balance for the defender (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (American): 1

Defender wins (German): 0

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Balance	Outcome
1006	1032	46%	2025-09-05	D	Won
1000	1040	44%	2024-04-05		Lost
1017	940	61%	2022-04-21		Won
978	1000	47%	2022-01-16		Lost
1000	1028	46%	2021-10-11		Won
932	1147	22%	2021-05-22		Lost
1008	1143	31%	2021-05-22		Lost
1029	1000	54%	2021-03-25		Lost
1000	961	56%	2020-08-11		Won
1138	1000	69%	2020-08-08		Lost
1010	1000	51%	2020-05-16		Lost
1000	934	59%	2020-03-17		Lost
945	1076	32%	2019-11-09		Lost
1000	1088	38%	2019-02-24		Lost
930	1000	40%	2017-07-14		Won
1008	977	54%	2017-05-08		Won
1077	990	62%	2015-06-19		Won
1000	1077	39%	2013-11-09		Lost
1147	1000	70%	2012-10-05		Lost
1028	1000	54%	2012-04-14		Won
1000	1083	38%	2012-04-13		Won
1126	966	72%	2010-08-01		Won
987	1025	45%	2009-11-10		Lost
1000	1101	36%	2007-03-17		Lost
1000	1034	45%	2006-10-18		Lost
1000	1120	33%	2006-09-23		Lost
1000	832	72%	2006-09-10		Lost
1000	1047	43%	2004-04-12		Lost
1175	1047	68%	2004-03-22		Lost
1109	1122	48%	2002-09-24		Lost
1209	1031	74%	2002-07-19		Won
1000	1076	39%	2002-03-29		Lost
1141	753	90%	2001-12-27		Lost
1101	1000	64%	2001-09-05		Won
1000	1101	36%	2001-08-21		Won
1006	1343	13%	2000-02-14		Lost
1000	1070	40%			Won

Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1029.9 vs 1032 has a 49.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).